Hrvatsko društvo ekonomista

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March 2024. ::: Vol.75 No. 02

Domagoj Sajter
Matija Kuzmić

INFLUENCE OF COVID-19 RELATED MEDIA AND NEWS ON THE STOCK AND CRYPTO MARKETS https://doi.org/10.32910/ep.75.2.3 Prethodno priopćenje The entire world was significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to confusion and turbulence in healthcare systems, as well as to extreme uncertainty in the financial realm. There was a profound distress in stock markets due to the enormously elevated levels of risk instigated by the pandemic, which additionally inflated investors’ losses. The contagion was supplemented by a surge of false stories that appear to be news (“fake news”) that circulated throughout all media channels, thus additionally amplifying uncertainty. This paper expands the previous literature by investigating media impact on prominent indices of the stock and cryptocurrency markets. RavenPack Panic and Fake News indices were utilized to examine their influence on S&P 500 and crypto (Royalton CRIX) indices’ daily movements by employing OLS and quantile regression. The results exhibit that there are noteworthy dependencies over the conditional distribution, but they present only a small influence on observed indices. Fake news influences the cryptocurrencies’ daily movements in a bearish market, however the effect is very weak. Furthermore, media-induced panic is significant in both exceptionally bearish and bullish conditions considering S&P 500 daily returns, but is also exhibiting low impact. COVID-19; panic; fake news; S&P500; cryptocurrency index; Quantile regression Puni tekst: engleski, pdf (492 KB)

INFLUENCE OF COVID-19 RELATED MEDIA AND NEWS ON THE STOCK AND CRYPTO MARKETS

https://doi.org/10.32910/ep.75.2.3

Prethodno priopćenje

The entire world was significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to confusion and turbulence in healthcare systems, as well as to extreme uncertainty in the financial realm. There was a profound distress in stock markets due to the enormously elevated levels of risk instigated by the pandemic, which additionally inflated investors’ losses. The contagion was supplemented by a surge of false stories that appear to be news (“fake news”) that circulated throughout all media channels, thus additionally amplifying uncertainty. This paper expands the previous literature by investigating media impact on prominent indices of the stock and cryptocurrency markets. RavenPack Panic and Fake News indices were utilized to examine their influence on S&P 500 and crypto (Royalton CRIX) indices’ daily movements by employing OLS and quantile regression. The results exhibit that there are noteworthy dependencies over the conditional distribution, but they present only a small influence on observed indices. Fake news influences the cryptocurrencies’ daily movements in a bearish market, however the effect is very weak. Furthermore, media-induced panic is significant in both exceptionally bearish and bullish conditions considering S&P 500 daily returns, but is also exhibiting low impact.

COVID-19; panic; fake news; S&P500; cryptocurrency index; Quantile regression

Puni tekst: engleski, pdf (492 KB)